GUIDELINES TO FOLLOW

Regardless of whether you prefer a fundamental or technical approach to forecasting prices, your ultimate success will hinge largely on your ability to develop good trading habits. Numerous expressions of market wisdom attempt to give guidance. Phrases like "cut your losses and let your profits run" or the "trend is your friend" are helpful, but a bit vague. What are some hard and fast guidelines that can improve your results? The following "rules of trading" will go a long way towards getting you started on the right path.
 

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Buy low and sell high.

bulletThis may sound obvious, but since it's the only way to earn trading profits, it bears repeating. Also, don't forget that in the futures markets you can do the reverse-sell high and buy low-just as easily. Bulls start their trades with a long (buy) position, while bears are initially short (sellers).

 

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Determine the right size for your trading account.

bulletThe funds you put into a trading account should be completely discretionary. In other words, ask yourself if you can afford to lose whatever you invest in that account and possibly more. Savings for college, retirement, or emergencies should not be included.

 

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Set definite risk parameters.

bulletBefore you enter into a trade determine how much of a loss you're willing to accept. You can express this as a dollar figure or as a percent of the margin amount. In either case, you should always keep some money in reserve. By setting limits up front, you'll lessen the risk of emotions dictating your decisions if the market happens to turn against you. Wishful thinking could easily drive you deeper into trouble, but hard and fast parameters are difficult to ignore.

 

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Pick the right contracts.

bulletThere are many futures contracts to choose from and several things to consider when deciding which ones are right for you.
bulletVolatility-Futures contracts that experience wider daily trading ranges are considered more volatile and more risky. Some traders prefer a more volatile contract because of the cost of trading (commission fees) is the same, yet the potential for profit can be greater. Of course, the risk for loss is also greater.
bulletLiquidity-Make sure that the futures contract you select has enough volume and open interest to ensure that you can exit your position just as easily as you entered it.
bulletContract Size-Larger contracts often carry greater risk (although this also depends on the contract's tick size and average trading range). If your trading account is relatively small, you may want to consider using MidAm contracts instead. This way you can participate in one or more futures markets with a smaller capital commitment.
bulletMargins-Margin levels are a function of a contract's size and price volatility. While you may be philosophically comfortable trading several markets, the size of your account and the margin requirements may limit your selection of which futures contracts to trade.

 

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Diversify.

bulletRather than exposing your entire trading account to a position to one futures contract, it is sometimes more prudent to take smaller positions in several contracts. At the same time, don't trade too many markets at once, or you'll have a difficult time tracking your positions and following the fundamental information and/or technical indicators for each market.

 

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Have a trading plan.

bulletBefore you actually enter into a futures position, develop a plan to guide your decision based on careful analysis of the market(s) you plan to trade. Following are some of the issues you'll want to evaluate:
bulletWhat is my goal with each trade? (To hit a given entry and exit price? To capitalize on an anticipated market indicator? To ride a trend for a specified period of time?)
bulletWhat fundamental and/or technical factors will steer my plan?
bulletWhat types of orders will I use? (in particular, consider the use of stop orders to enforce your risk parameters.)
bulletWhat systems will I use to monitor market developments and my positions?

 

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Stick to it. Discipline is key to successful trading.

bulletDon't let rumors or offhand remarks undercut your confidence. If you've put serious thought and analysis into your plan, it's likely to be more sound than isolated comments made by others. At the same time, be willing to recognize when conditions have legitimately changed and adjust your plans.

 

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Don't trade in and out too much.

bulletBecause every trade in futures markets comes with a price tag-namely commission charges-you'll want to avoid any plan that has you constantly jumping in and out of the market. Try to focus your efforts instead on making fewer well-timed trades.

 

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Begin by paper trading.

bulletThere's no better way to learn than to have your own money on the line, it's still a good idea to practice first by trading on paper. Pick a couple of markets to follow and experiment with your trading plan. This is also a good way to become familiar with the price quotations, the market terminology, and the general behavior of a particular futures contract.

 

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Select a good broker.

bulletYour broker plays a vital role in your trading success. Make sure that you've discussed the level of support you'll be given and the fees you'll be charged. While fees can vary considerably, it's generally true that you get what you pay for. Full-service brokers provide more in the way of guidance and research support. Discount brokers leave all the decisions in your lap but charge less to execute your trades. The size of your account or your trading volume may also impact the fees you'll be charged.


Reprinted with permission of Chicago Board of Trade.
From Trading in Futures An Introduction to Speculators copyright 1995

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